FC Porto vs Napoli prediction
Wednesday 4 November 2026, 21:00, Estádio do Dragão
Our prediction
The model gives FC Porto a 57% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 18% for Napoli. Expected goals: FC Porto 1.7, Napoli 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
FCP57%Draw26%NAP18%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home57%Fair odds 1.77Double chanceHome or draw82%Fair odds 1.22Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%Fair odds 1.92Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%Fair odds 1.35Both teams to scoreNo51%Fair odds 1.94Correct score1-112%Fair odds 8.24Draw no betHome76%Fair odds 1.32Asian handicapHome -0.557%Fair odds 1.77Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome61%Fair odds 1.64Win to nilHome34%Fair odds 2.98
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.1%
- 1-012%
- 2-011.1%
- 2-19.7%
- 0-08.4%
Recent form
FC Porto
- WFC Porto 4-0 Estoril
- WGil Vicente 0-1 FC Porto
- LFC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven
- LReal Betis 3-2 FC Porto
- WMaritimo 1-2 FC Porto
Napoli
- WMonza 1-4 Napoli
- DNapoli 3-3 AS Roma
- WNapoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt
- LVenezia 1-0 Napoli
- LVillarreal 3-1 Napoli
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.