FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00, Estádio do Dragão

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives FC Porto a 51% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 25% for PSV Eindhoven. Expected goals: FC Porto 1.9, PSV Eindhoven 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score63%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.9%
  • 2-19.6%
  • 2-07.4%
  • 1-06.9%
  • 1-26.6%

Recent form

FC Porto

  • LReal Betis 3-2 FC Porto
  • WMaritimo 1-2 FC Porto
  • WFC Porto 3-1 Benfica
  • WCasa Pia 1-4 FC Porto
  • LFC Porto 0-2 Manchester City

PSV Eindhoven

  • LADO Den Haag 2-1 PSV Eindhoven
  • LRB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven
  • WPSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen
  • LFC Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven
  • WPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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