Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 11:30, Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Fiorentina a 26% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 46% for Napoli. Expected goals: Fiorentina 1.1, Napoli 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
FIO26%Draw28%NAP46%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away46%✗Fair odds 2.18Double chanceAway or draw74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%✓Fair odds 1.91Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Both teams to scoreYes52%✓Fair odds 1.91Correct score1-113%✓Fair odds 7.55Draw no betAway64%Fair odds 1.57Asian handicapHome +1.577%✓Fair odds 1.31Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway53%✓Fair odds 1.88Win to nilAway25%✗Fair odds 3.94
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.3%
- 0-110.4%
- 1-29.2%
- 0-08.6%
- 0-28.5%
Recent form
Fiorentina
- WVenezia 2-4 Fiorentina
- LFiorentina 1-2 Torino
- LFiorentina 0-3 Frosinone
- LAS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
- DFiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
Napoli
- WNapoli 1-0 Bologna
- LNapoli 0-1 Arsenal
- LInternazionale 3-2 Napoli
- LNapoli 1-2 Como
- WGenoa 0-2 Napoli
Head to head
- LNapoli 2-1 Fiorentina
- LFiorentina 1-3 Napoli
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.