Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:00, Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Full time: 1-5
Our prediction
The model gives Fortuna Sittard a 31% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 44% for Ajax Amsterdam. Expected goals: Fortuna Sittard 1.4, Ajax Amsterdam 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
FOR31%Draw25%AJA44%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away44%✓Fair odds 2.28Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.68Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes62%✓Fair odds 1.61Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.61Draw no betAway59%✓Fair odds 1.71Asian handicapHome +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.78Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway52%✓Fair odds 1.93Win to nilAway19%✗Fair odds 5.17
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 62% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.6%
- 1-29.1%
- 2-17.5%
- 0-16.9%
- 0-26.5%
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard
- WADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna Sittard
- WFC Groningen 2-3 Fortuna Sittard
- LFortuna Sittard 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
- WFortuna Sittard 3-1 SC Cambuur
- DPSV Eindhoven 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
Ajax Amsterdam
- LAjax Amsterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven
- WTelstar 0-4 Ajax Amsterdam
- DAjax Amsterdam 2-2 Heerenveen
- WPEC Zwolle 0-2 Ajax Amsterdam
- WAjax Amsterdam 2-0 FC Groningen
Head to head
- LAjax Amsterdam 4-1 Fortuna Sittard
- LFortuna Sittard 1-3 Ajax Amsterdam
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.