Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:15, Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Fortuna Sittard a 44% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 31% for Excelsior. Expected goals: Fortuna Sittard 1.8, Excelsior 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
FOR44%Draw25%EXC31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✓Fair odds 2.27Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.58Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✗Fair odds 1.18Both teams to scoreYes65%✗Fair odds 1.54Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.16Draw no betHome58%✓Fair odds 1.71Asian handicapAway +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.79Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.92Win to nilHome18%✓Fair odds 5.53
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 65% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.9%
- 2-19%
- 1-27.5%
- 2-26.7%
- 2-06.1%
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard
- DFortuna Sittard 1-1 FC Twente
- WWillem II 0-1 Fortuna Sittard
- LFortuna Sittard 1-5 Ajax Amsterdam
- WADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
- LHeerenveen 4-0 Excelsior
- LExcelsior 1-5 FC Groningen
- DAjax Amsterdam 2-2 Excelsior
- LExcelsior 1-2 FC Utrecht
- DNEC Nijmegen 2-2 Excelsior
Head to head
- WFortuna Sittard 2-1 Excelsior
- LExcelsior 1-0 Fortuna Sittard
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.