Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 21:00, Estadio Libertadores de América
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Independiente a 27% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 44% for Boca Juniors. Expected goals: Independiente 1.1, Boca Juniors 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
IND27%Draw29%CABJ44%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away44%✓Fair odds 2.27Double chanceAway or draw73%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.84Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✗Fair odds 1.38Both teams to scoreYes51%✗Fair odds 1.96Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.36Draw no betAway62%✓Fair odds 1.62Asian handicapHome +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.79Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway52%✓Fair odds 1.93Win to nilAway25%✓Fair odds 4.00
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.6%
- 0-110.7%
- 0-09.2%
- 1-29%
- 0-28.4%
Recent form
Independiente
- DRacing Club 1-1 Independiente
- DTalleres (Córdoba) 0-0 Independiente
- LIndependiente 1-4 Instituto (Córdoba)
- WUnión (Santa Fe) 1-2 Independiente
- DIndependiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
- WBoca Juniors 2-1 Talleres (Córdoba)
- DInstituto (Córdoba) 2-2 Boca Juniors
- WBoca Juniors 3-0 Unión (Santa Fe)
- WSan Lorenzo 0-2 Boca Juniors
- WBoca Juniors 3-1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
Head to head
- DBoca Juniors 1-1 Independiente
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.