Juventus vs AC Milan prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 19:45, Allianz Stadium
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Juventus a 48% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 23% for AC Milan. Expected goals: Juventus 1.4, AC Milan 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
JUV48%Draw29%MIL23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✗Fair odds 2.08Double chanceHome or draw77%✓Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.72Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.569%✓Fair odds 1.44Both teams to scoreNo53%✗Fair odds 1.88Correct score1-114%✓Fair odds 7.40Draw no betHome68%Fair odds 1.48Asian handicapAway +1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome55%✗Fair odds 1.83Win to nilHome29%✗Fair odds 3.40
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.5%
- 1-012.6%
- 0-010.5%
- 2-09.8%
- 2-19%
Recent form
Juventus
- WJuventus 2-0 Parma
- WFrosinone 0-1 Juventus
- DTorino 2-2 Juventus
- LJuventus 0-2 Fiorentina
- WLecce 0-1 Juventus
AC Milan
- WAC Milan 2-0 Venezia
- WTorino 1-2 AC Milan
- LAC Milan 1-2 Cagliari
- WGenoa 1-2 AC Milan
- LAC Milan 2-3 Atalanta
Head to head
- DAC Milan 0-0 Juventus
- DJuventus 0-0 AC Milan
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.