Lazio vs Monza prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:00, Olimpico
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Lazio a 56% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 21% for Monza. Expected goals: Lazio 1.9, Monza 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
LAZ56%Draw24%MON21%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home56%✓Fair odds 1.80Double chanceHome or draw79%✓Fair odds 1.26Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.72Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.97Draw no betHome73%✓Fair odds 1.37Asian handicapHome -0.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome60%✓Fair odds 1.67Win to nilHome28%✗Fair odds 3.62
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.2%
- 2-19.9%
- 2-09%
- 1-08.6%
- 3-16.3%
Recent form
Lazio
- WVenezia 0-2 Lazio
- DLazio 2-2 AC Milan
- WUdinese 1-2 Lazio
- WLazio 1-0 Genoa
- WBologna 0-1 Lazio
Monza
- WMonza 2-1 Sassuolo
- LLecce 3-2 Monza
- DParma 1-1 Monza
- LMonza 2-3 Udinese
- LInternazionale 4-1 Monza
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.