Lazio vs Parma prediction

Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:45, Olimpico

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Lazio a 56% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 14% for Parma. Expected goals: Lazio 1.4, Parma 0.6. Most likely score: 1-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score34%

Most likely scores

  • 1-018.3%
  • 0-014.5%
  • 2-013.6%
  • 1-112.1%
  • 2-17.9%

Recent form

Lazio

  • WJuventus 0-3 Lazio
  • WLazio 3-1 Monza
  • WVenezia 0-2 Lazio
  • DLazio 2-2 AC Milan
  • WUdinese 1-2 Lazio

Parma

  • LParma 0-3 Torino
  • LInternazionale 3-0 Parma
  • WParma 2-1 Genoa
  • LComo 2-1 Parma
  • DParma 1-1 Monza

Head to head

  • DLazio 1-1 Parma
  • WParma 0-1 Lazio

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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