Lille vs Galatasaray prediction

Wednesday 21 October 2026, 17:45, Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Full time: 2-4

Our prediction

The model gives Lille a 36% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 36% for Galatasaray. Expected goals: Lille 1.3, Galatasaray 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams score55%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.3%
  • 2-18.3%
  • 1-08.3%
  • 1-28.2%
  • 0-18.2%

Recent form

Lille

  • DLille 1-1 Brest
  • LArsenal 3-0 Lille
  • WLille 1-0 Le Havre AC
  • LNice 2-1 Lille
  • WLille 2-0 Troyes

Galatasaray

  • WGenclerbirligi 0-1 Galatasaray
  • LGalatasaray 1-4 Barcelona
  • WGalatasaray 3-1 Kasimpasa
  • LTrabzonspor 4-0 Galatasaray
  • WGalatasaray 1-0 Kocaelispor

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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