Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid prediction
Wednesday 9 September 2026, 20:00, Anfield
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Liverpool a 51% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 26% for Atlético Madrid. Expected goals: Liverpool 1.9, Atlético Madrid 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
LIV51%Draw24%ATM26%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home51%✓Fair odds 1.98Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✓Fair odds 1.61Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.59Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.21Draw no betHome66%✓Fair odds 1.51Asian handicapAway +1.571%✓Fair odds 1.41Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome56%✗Fair odds 1.77Win to nilHome22%✗Fair odds 4.50
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.9%
- 2-19.6%
- 2-07.3%
- 1-06.9%
- 1-26.6%
Recent form
Liverpool
- WIpswich Town 0-2 Liverpool
- DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest
- DNewcastle United 2-2 Liverpool
- DLiverpool 1-1 Brentford
- LAston Villa 4-2 Liverpool
Atlético Madrid
- LAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético Madrid
- WSevilla 1-3 Atlético Madrid
- DAtlético Madrid 2-2 Villarreal
- WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Málaga
- LVillarreal 5-1 Atlético Madrid
Head to head
- WLiverpool 3-2 Atlético Madrid
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.