Liverpool vs Villarreal prediction
Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00, Anfield
Full time: 4-3
Our prediction
The model gives Liverpool a 57% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 20% for Villarreal. Expected goals: Liverpool 2.1, Villarreal 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
LIV57%Draw22%VIL20%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home57%✓Fair odds 1.75Double chanceHome or draw80%✓Fair odds 1.26Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.63Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.78Draw no betHome74%✓Fair odds 1.36Asian handicapHome -0.557%✓Fair odds 1.75Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome61%✗Fair odds 1.65Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.83
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.2%
- 2-19.8%
- 2-08.3%
- 1-07.3%
- 3-16.8%
Recent form
Liverpool
- WBrentford 1-2 Liverpool
- WLASK Linz 3-6 Liverpool
- LLiverpool 0-3 Manchester City
- WAFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool
- DLiverpool 0-0 Fulham
Villarreal
- DVillarreal 0-0 Elche
- WVillarreal 3-1 Napoli
- LReal Madrid 1-0 Villarreal
- WVillarreal 3-1 Levante
- WMálaga 1-3 Villarreal
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.