Lyon vs Nice prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 19:45, Groupama Stadium
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Lyon a 66% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 12% for Nice. Expected goals: Lyon 2.0, Nice 0.7. Most likely score: 2-0.
LYON66%Draw22%NICE12%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home66%✓Fair odds 1.52Double chanceHome or draw88%✓Fair odds 1.14Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.551%✓Fair odds 1.98Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreNo55%✗Fair odds 1.83Correct score2-013%✗Fair odds 7.68Draw no betHome84%✓Fair odds 1.19Asian handicapHome -0.566%✓Fair odds 1.52Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome67%✗Fair odds 1.48Win to nilHome41%✗Fair odds 2.46
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams score | 45% |
Most likely scores
- 2-013%
- 1-012.5%
- 1-110.5%
- 2-19.5%
- 3-08.5%
Recent form
Lyon
- WLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace
- LLens 2-1 Lyon
- WLyon 4-0 Stade Rennais
- WAnderlecht 1-2 Lyon
- DParis FC 0-0 Lyon
Nice
- WNice 2-1 Strasbourg
- WNice 2-1 Lille
- LAJ Auxerre 1-0 Nice
- DNice 1-1 Le Mans
- LParis FC 3-0 Nice
Head to head
- WLyon 2-0 Nice
- LNice 3-2 Lyon
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.