Málaga vs Espanyol prediction
Friday 9 October 2026, 20:00, La Rosaleda
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Málaga a 29% chance of winning, 32% for a draw and 39% for Espanyol. Expected goals: Málaga 0.9, Espanyol 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
MCF29%Draw32%ESP39%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away39%✗Fair odds 2.53Double chanceAway or draw71%✓Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Both teams to scoreNo57%✗Fair odds 1.75Correct score1-114%✓Fair odds 6.93Draw no betAway58%Fair odds 1.73Asian handicapHome +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.65Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.89First team to scoreAway48%✓Fair odds 2.10Win to nilAway26%✗Fair odds 3.91
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Both teams score | 43% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.4%
- 0-013.3%
- 0-113.1%
- 1-010.5%
- 0-28.2%
Recent form
Málaga
- LGetafe 1-0 Málaga
- LMálaga 1-3 Villarreal
- DCelta Vigo 1-1 Málaga
- DMálaga 0-0 Levante
- LReal Madrid 4-0 Málaga
Espanyol
- LEspanyol 1-3 Elche
- LRayo Vallecano 2-1 Espanyol
- WOsasuna 0-2 Espanyol
- DEspanyol 1-1 Sevilla
- LReal Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.