Maritimo vs Benfica prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 18:00, Estádio do Marítimo
Full time: 0-3
Our prediction
The model gives Maritimo a 22% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 55% for Benfica. Expected goals: Maritimo 1.2, Benfica 1.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
MAR22%Draw24%SLB55%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away55%✓Fair odds 1.83Double chanceAway or draw78%✓Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.68Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes59%✗Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.08Draw no betAway72%✓Fair odds 1.40Asian handicapHome +1.568%✗Fair odds 1.48Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway59%✓Fair odds 1.69Win to nilAway26%✓Fair odds 3.82
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29.8%
- 0-28.5%
- 0-18%
- 1-36.3%
Recent form
Maritimo
- LArouca 2-1 Maritimo
- DMaritimo 2-2 Académico de Viseu
- WFC Famalicao 1-2 Maritimo
- WMaritimo 1-0 Casa Pia
Benfica
- WBenfica 2-1 Estoril
- WCasa Pia 0-7 Benfica
- DBenfica 2-2 Académico de Viseu
- WEstoril 1-3 Benfica
- DBenfica 2-2 Braga
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.