Marseille vs Le Havre AC prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:15, Stade Vélodrome
Full time: 4-3
Our prediction
The model gives Marseille a 57% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 17% for Le Havre AC. Expected goals: Marseille 1.7, Le Havre AC 0.9. Most likely score: 1-0.
OLM57%Draw25%HAC17%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home57%✓Fair odds 1.74Double chanceHome or draw83%✓Fair odds 1.21Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.93Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Both teams to scoreNo51%✗Fair odds 1.94Correct score1-012%✗Fair odds 8.33Draw no betHome77%✓Fair odds 1.30Asian handicapHome -0.557%✓Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome61%✓Fair odds 1.63Win to nilHome34%✗Fair odds 2.94
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-012%
- 1-112%
- 2-011.3%
- 2-19.7%
- 0-08.3%
Recent form
Marseille
- LSK Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille
- WAngers 2-5 Marseille
- LMarseille 0-1 Olympiacos
- WTroyes 0-2 Marseille
- LMarseille 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
Le Havre AC
- LLe Havre AC 1-3 AJ Auxerre
- LLille 1-0 Le Havre AC
- LToulouse 3-2 Le Havre AC
- DLe Havre AC 0-0 Angers
- LLe Havre AC 1-2 Brest
Head to head
- WLe Havre AC 0-1 Marseille
- WMarseille 6-2 Le Havre AC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.