Monza vs Cagliari prediction
Monday 19 October 2026, 17:30, U-Power Stadium
Full time: 4-0
Our prediction
The model gives Monza a 36% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 38% for Cagliari. Expected goals: Monza 1.4, Cagliari 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
MON36%Draw26%CAG38%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away38%✗Fair odds 2.65Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.77Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes60%✗Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.12Draw no betAway51%✗Fair odds 1.95Asian handicapHome +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.61Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway48%✗Fair odds 2.10Win to nilAway17%✗Fair odds 5.79
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 1-28.5%
- 2-18.3%
- 0-17%
- 1-06.7%
Recent form
Monza
- LLazio 3-1 Monza
- WMonza 2-1 Sassuolo
- LLecce 3-2 Monza
- DParma 1-1 Monza
- LMonza 2-3 Udinese
Cagliari
- DCagliari 1-1 Juventus
- WUdinese 0-1 Cagliari
- WAtalanta 1-2 Cagliari
- WCagliari 1-0 Lecce
- LCagliari 0-1 Internazionale
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.