Moreirense vs Gil Vicente prediction
Friday 9 October 2026, 18:45, Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Moreirense a 32% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 38% for Gil Vicente. Expected goals: Moreirense 1.1, Gil Vicente 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
MFC32%Draw30%GVFC38%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away38%✓Fair odds 2.63Double chanceEither team70%✓Fair odds 1.43Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.73Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.569%✗Fair odds 1.44Both teams to scoreNo51%✓Fair odds 1.96Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.07Draw no betAway54%✓Fair odds 1.84Asian handicapHome +0.562%✗Fair odds 1.61Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreAway47%✓Fair odds 2.12Win to nilAway22%✓Fair odds 4.52
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.1%
- 0-110.6%
- 0-010.4%
- 1-09.5%
- 1-28.2%
Recent form
Moreirense
- DVitória de Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense
- WMoreirense 3-1 Maritimo
- LMoreirense 0-4 Benfica
- LFC Porto 2-1 Moreirense
- WCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
Gil Vicente
- DGil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo
- LBenfica 3-1 Gil Vicente
- LGil Vicente 0-1 Académico de Viseu
- DFC Famalicao 0-0 Gil Vicente
- WGil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Head to head
- LMoreirense 1-2 Gil Vicente
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.