Moreirense vs Maritimo prediction
Monday 14 September 2026, 20:15, Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Moreirense a 34% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 38% for Maritimo. Expected goals: Moreirense 1.3, Maritimo 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
MFC34%Draw28%MAR38%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away38%✗Fair odds 2.63Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.551%✗Fair odds 1.97Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✓Fair odds 1.33Both teams to scoreYes55%✓Fair odds 1.83Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.46Draw no betAway53%✗Fair odds 1.89Asian handicapHome +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.62Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway48%✗Fair odds 2.10Win to nilAway20%✗Fair odds 5.05
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.4%
- 0-18.7%
- 1-28.5%
- 0-08.1%
- 1-08.1%
Recent form
Moreirense
- LMoreirense 0-4 Benfica
- LFC Porto 2-1 Moreirense
- WCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
- LArouca 4-0 Moreirense
- DMoreirense 2-2 Braga
Maritimo
- LMaritimo 0-3 Benfica
- LArouca 2-1 Maritimo
- DMaritimo 2-2 Académico de Viseu
- WFC Famalicao 1-2 Maritimo
- WMaritimo 1-0 Casa Pia
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.