Napoli vs Arsenal prediction
Wednesday 9 September 2026, 20:00, Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Napoli a 18% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 53% for Arsenal. Expected goals: Napoli 0.8, Arsenal 1.5. Most likely score: 0-1.
NAP18%Draw28%ARS53%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away53%✓Fair odds 1.88Double chanceAway or draw82%✓Fair odds 1.23Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.561%✓Fair odds 1.63Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.566%✗Fair odds 1.51Both teams to scoreNo58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score0-115%✓Fair odds 6.75Draw no betAway74%✓Fair odds 1.35Asian handicapHome +1.572%✓Fair odds 1.38Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreAway58%✓Fair odds 1.72Win to nilAway35%✓Fair odds 2.86
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Both teams score | 42% |
Most likely scores
- 0-114.8%
- 1-113%
- 0-011.7%
- 0-211.6%
- 1-28.8%
Recent form
Napoli
- LInternazionale 3-2 Napoli
- LNapoli 1-2 Como
- WGenoa 0-2 Napoli
- WNapoli 1-0 Udinese
- WPisa 0-3 Napoli
Arsenal
- WArsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- WAston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
- WArsenal 3-0 Coventry City
- WCrystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal
- WArsenal 1-0 Burnley
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.