Napoli vs Bologna prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 17:00, Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Napoli a 52% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 21% for Bologna. Expected goals: Napoli 1.7, Bologna 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
NAP52%Draw26%BOL21%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home52%✓Fair odds 1.91Double chanceHome or draw79%✓Fair odds 1.27Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.550%✓Fair odds 1.99Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✗Fair odds 1.33Both teams to scoreYes52%✗Fair odds 1.92Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.02Draw no betHome71%✓Fair odds 1.41Asian handicapAway +1.571%✓Fair odds 1.41Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome58%✓Fair odds 1.73Win to nilHome29%✓Fair odds 3.43
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.5%
- 1-010.7%
- 2-09.7%
- 2-19.7%
- 0-07.9%
Recent form
Napoli
- LNapoli 0-1 Arsenal
- LInternazionale 3-2 Napoli
- LNapoli 1-2 Como
- WGenoa 0-2 Napoli
- WNapoli 1-0 Udinese
Bologna
- DBologna 2-2 Sassuolo
- LAtalanta 1-0 Bologna
- LBologna 0-1 Lazio
- DBologna 3-3 Internazionale
- WAtalanta 0-1 Bologna
Head to head
- LNapoli 2-3 Bologna
- LBologna 2-0 Napoli
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.