NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior prediction
Tuesday 8 September 2026, 17:45, Goffertstadion
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives NEC Nijmegen a 47% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 28% for Excelsior. Expected goals: NEC Nijmegen 1.8, Excelsior 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
NEC47%Draw24%EXC28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home47%✗Fair odds 2.12Double chanceEither team76%✗Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✓Fair odds 1.61Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.58Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.04Draw no betHome63%Fair odds 1.60Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome54%✓Fair odds 1.85Win to nilHome20%✗Fair odds 4.91
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.1%
- 2-19.3%
- 1-27%
- 2-06.8%
- 1-06.6%
Recent form
NEC Nijmegen
- LNEC Nijmegen 1-3 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- WPEC Zwolle 1-3 NEC Nijmegen
- WWillem II 1-4 NEC Nijmegen
- LNEC Nijmegen 1-2 Telstar
- WNEC Nijmegen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
- WWillem II 0-3 Excelsior
- WExcelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- LExcelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
- WSC Cambuur 0-4 Excelsior
- WSparta Rotterdam 2-3 Excelsior
Head to head
- WExcelsior 0-2 NEC Nijmegen
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.