PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00, Philips Stadion
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives PSV Eindhoven a 83% chance of winning, 11% for a draw and 7% for Sparta Rotterdam. Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 3.5, Sparta Rotterdam 1.0. Most likely score: 3-1.
PSV83%Draw11%SPA7%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home83%✓Fair odds 1.21Double chanceHome or draw93%✓Fair odds 1.07Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.595%✓Fair odds 1.06Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.59Correct score3-18%✗Fair odds 12.66Draw no betHome93%✓Fair odds 1.08Asian handicapHome -1.567%✓Fair odds 1.49Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.98First team to scoreHome76%✗Fair odds 1.31Win to nilHome34%✗Fair odds 2.93
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 3-17.9%
- 3-07.6%
- 4-17%
- 4-06.7%
- 2-16.7%
Recent form
PSV Eindhoven
- DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk
- WAjax Amsterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven
- WFC Utrecht 1-6 PSV Eindhoven
- WPSV Eindhoven 5-1 FC Groningen
- WExcelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC Zwolle
- LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- DSparta Rotterdam 3-3 FC Utrecht
- WTelstar 1-3 Sparta Rotterdam
- LSparta Rotterdam 0-1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
Head to head
- WSparta Rotterdam 0-2 PSV Eindhoven
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.