Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol prediction

Tuesday 15 September 2026, 18:00, Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Rayo Vallecano a 42% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 29% for Espanyol. Expected goals: Rayo Vallecano 1.4, Espanyol 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.7%
  • 1-010.4%
  • 0-09.3%
  • 2-18.8%
  • 0-18.2%

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano

  • LReal Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano
  • WRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing Santander
  • LBarcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano
  • DRayo Vallecano 1-1 Alavés
  • LSevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Espanyol

  • WOsasuna 0-2 Espanyol
  • DEspanyol 1-1 Sevilla
  • LReal Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol
  • LEspanyol 1-2 Real Madrid
  • WEspanyol 3-0 Levante

Head to head

  • WRayo Vallecano 1-0 Espanyol
  • LEspanyol 1-0 Rayo Vallecano

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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