RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction

Wednesday 4 November 2026, 21:00, Red Bull Arena

Our prediction

The model gives RB Leipzig a 29% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 48% for Manchester City. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.5, Manchester City 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score68%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-29.1%
  • 2-16.9%
  • 2-26.8%
  • 0-26%

Recent form

RB Leipzig

  • WSchalke 04 0-2 RB Leipzig
  • WRB Leipzig 4-0 SV Elversberg
  • LReal Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig
  • LBayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig
  • WRB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven

Manchester City

  • LManchester City 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • LAston Villa 2-1 Manchester City
  • WManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens
  • WManchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town
  • LManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-Germain

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Champions League predictions