RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00, Red Bull Arena

Full time: 1-0

Our prediction

The model gives RB Leipzig a 38% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 41% for PSV Eindhoven. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 2.0, PSV Eindhoven 2.1. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Both teams score77%

Most likely scores

  • 1-17.5%
  • 2-27.3%
  • 1-27.2%
  • 2-17%
  • 2-35.1%

Recent form

RB Leipzig

  • WRB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
  • WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg SV
  • LComo 4-1 RB Leipzig
  • LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig

PSV Eindhoven

  • WPSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen
  • LFC Twente 3-2 PSV Eindhoven
  • WPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • WAjax Amsterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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