Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 20:00, Reale Arena
Full time: 0-3
Our prediction
The model gives Real Sociedad a 33% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 42% for Atlético Madrid. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.6, Atlético Madrid 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.
RSO33%Draw24%ATM42%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away42%✓Fair odds 2.35Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.53Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%✓Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes67%✗Fair odds 1.50Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.48Draw no betAway56%✓Fair odds 1.78Asian handicapHome +0.558%✗Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway51%✓Fair odds 1.96Win to nilAway17%✓Fair odds 6.04
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams score | 67% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.6%
- 1-28.7%
- 2-17.7%
- 2-26.9%
- 0-25.6%
Recent form
Real Sociedad
- WElche 2-3 Real Sociedad
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo
- WReal Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol
- LReal Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad
- LReal Betis 1-0 Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid
- LLiverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid
- LAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético Madrid
- WSevilla 1-3 Atlético Madrid
- DAtlético Madrid 2-2 Villarreal
- WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Málaga
Head to head
- LAtlético Madrid 3-2 Real Sociedad
- DReal Sociedad 1-1 Atlético Madrid
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.