Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo prediction

Thursday 3 September 2026, 20:00, Reale Arena

Full time: 0-0

Our prediction

The model gives Real Sociedad a 43% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 31% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.7, Celta Vigo 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score62%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.8%
  • 2-19.1%
  • 1-27.6%
  • 1-07%
  • 2-06.6%

Recent form

Real Sociedad

  • WReal Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol
  • LReal Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad
  • LReal Betis 1-0 Real Sociedad
  • DEspanyol 1-1 Real Sociedad
  • LReal Sociedad 3-4 Valencia

Celta Vigo

  • LCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club
  • LCelta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna
  • DValencia 0-0 Celta Vigo
  • WCelta Vigo 1-0 Sevilla
  • DAthletic Club 1-1 Celta Vigo

Head to head

  • WReal Sociedad 3-1 Celta Vigo
  • DCelta Vigo 1-1 Real Sociedad

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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