Real Sociedad vs Deportivo prediction

Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:15, Reale Arena

Full time: 3-2

Our prediction

The model gives Real Sociedad a 42% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 32% for Deportivo. Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.7, Deportivo 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams score63%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.5%
  • 2-18.9%
  • 1-27.7%
  • 1-06.5%
  • 2-26.5%

Recent form

Real Sociedad

  • WValencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
  • LReal Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
  • LReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético Madrid
  • WElche 2-3 Real Sociedad
  • DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo

Deportivo

  • DDeportivo 1-1 Real Betis
  • LDeportivo 0-1 Sevilla
  • DGetafe 1-1 Deportivo
  • WVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo
  • WDeportivo 3-1 Valencia

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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