Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:30, Estádio do Rio Ave
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives Rio Ave a 35% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 36% for C.D. Nacional. Expected goals: Rio Ave 1.2, C.D. Nacional 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
RAFC35%Draw29%CDN36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away36%✗Fair odds 2.81Double chanceEither team71%✓Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.81Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✓Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreYes51%✓Fair odds 1.95Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.17Draw no betAway50%✗Fair odds 1.99Asian handicapHome +0.564%✓Fair odds 1.55Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway45%✓Fair odds 2.20Win to nilAway20%✗Fair odds 5.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.9%
- 0-09.5%
- 0-19.5%
- 1-09.4%
- 1-28%
Recent form
Rio Ave
- LAlverca 1-0 Rio Ave
- DRio Ave 3-3 Estrela
- LSanta Clara 4-0 Rio Ave
- LRio Ave 0-4 Sporting CP
- WEstoril 0-2 Rio Ave
C.D. Nacional
- LC.D. Nacional 0-4 FC Famalicao
- LC.D. Nacional 1-3 Alverca
- LSporting CP 2-0 C.D. Nacional
- LC.D. Nacional 2-3 Estrela
- LVitória de Guimaraes 1-0 C.D. Nacional
Head to head
- LC.D. Nacional 4-0 Rio Ave
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.