Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:00, Mapei Stadium
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Sassuolo a 33% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 38% for AC Milan. Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.2, AC Milan 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
SAS33%Draw29%MIL38%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away38%✗Fair odds 2.62Double chanceEither team71%✗Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.88Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✓Fair odds 1.37Both teams to scoreYes53%✓Fair odds 1.90Correct score1-114%✓Fair odds 7.30Draw no betAway54%Fair odds 1.86Asian handicapHome +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.62Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway48%✓Fair odds 2.10Win to nilAway21%✗Fair odds 4.82
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.7%
- 0-19.4%
- 0-08.9%
- 1-08.5%
- 1-28.4%
Recent form
Sassuolo
- LMonza 2-1 Sassuolo
- WSassuolo 3-2 Juventus
- DBologna 2-2 Sassuolo
- WSassuolo 2-1 Torino
- LAtalanta 2-1 Sassuolo
AC Milan
- WAC Milan 3-0 Lecce
- LAC Milan 0-2 Benfica
- DLazio 2-2 AC Milan
- DJuventus 1-1 AC Milan
- WAC Milan 2-0 Venezia
Head to head
- WSassuolo 2-0 AC Milan
- DAC Milan 2-2 Sassuolo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.