Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens prediction
Wednesday 14 October 2026, 20:00, Stamford Bridge
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 44% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 26% for AEK Athens. Expected goals: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3, AEK Athens 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
SHK44%Draw30%AEK26%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✓Fair odds 2.27Double chanceHome or draw74%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.62Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.566%✓Fair odds 1.52Both teams to scoreNo55%✗Fair odds 1.81Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.11Draw no betHome63%✓Fair odds 1.58Asian handicapAway +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.79Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome51%✗Fair odds 1.95Win to nilHome28%✗Fair odds 3.60
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Both teams score | 45% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.1%
- 1-013%
- 0-011.9%
- 2-09.1%
- 0-19%
Recent form
Shakhtar Donetsk
- DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens
- WAEK Athens 1-0 LASK Linz
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.