Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 20:00, Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives Sparta Rotterdam a 60% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 19% for Willem II. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.2, Willem II 1.2. Most likely score: 2-1.
SPA60%Draw21%WIL19%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✓Fair odds 1.68Double chanceHome or draw81%✓Fair odds 1.23Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.53Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%✓Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes62%✓Fair odds 1.61Correct score2-110%✗Fair odds 10.26Draw no betHome76%✓Fair odds 1.32Asian handicapHome -0.560%✓Fair odds 1.68Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome62%✗Fair odds 1.60Win to nilHome27%✗Fair odds 3.74
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams score | 62% |
Most likely scores
- 2-19.8%
- 1-19.6%
- 2-08.3%
- 3-17.1%
- 1-06.9%
Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam
- DGo Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam
- LSparta Rotterdam 0-4 Heerenveen
- LPSV Eindhoven 4-1 Sparta Rotterdam
- DSparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC Zwolle
- LExcelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II
- LFC Utrecht 3-1 Willem II
- LWillem II 0-1 Fortuna Sittard
- LAjax Amsterdam 5-1 Willem II
- DAZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem II
- LWillem II 0-3 Excelsior
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.