Toulouse vs Troyes prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 17:15, Stadium Municipal de Toulouse

Full time: 0-0

Our prediction

The model gives Toulouse a 71% chance of winning, 18% for a draw and 11% for Troyes. Expected goals: Toulouse 2.4, Troyes 0.9. Most likely score: 2-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score53%

Most likely scores

  • 2-011%
  • 2-19.5%
  • 3-08.8%
  • 1-18.6%
  • 1-08.5%

Recent form

Toulouse

  • WLe Mans 0-3 Toulouse
  • DAS Monaco 2-2 Toulouse
  • WToulouse 3-2 Le Havre AC
  • DLorient 2-2 Toulouse
  • LToulouse 0-1 Lille

Troyes

  • LTroyes 1-3 Lens
  • LTroyes 0-2 Marseille
  • LAngers 2-0 Troyes
  • LLille 2-0 Troyes
  • LTroyes 2-6 Strasbourg

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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