Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 20:00, Mestalla Stadium

Full time: 0-0

Our prediction

The model gives Valencia a 38% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 32% for Athletic Club. Expected goals: Valencia 1.3, Athletic Club 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score50%

Most likely scores

  • 1-114.1%
  • 1-010.4%
  • 0-010.1%
  • 0-19.3%
  • 2-18.2%

Recent form

Valencia

  • DRacing Santander 2-2 Valencia
  • LValencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
  • WAlavés 0-1 Valencia
  • LSevilla 1-0 Valencia
  • LValencia 0-5 Barcelona

Athletic Club

  • DAthletic Club 0-0 Alavés
  • DAthletic Club 1-1 Elche
  • WAthletic Club 3-0 Atlético Madrid
  • WCelta Vigo 0-2 Athletic Club
  • LBarcelona 2-0 Athletic Club

Head to head

  • WAthletic Club 0-1 Valencia
  • WValencia 2-0 Athletic Club

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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