Valencia vs Real Sociedad prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 20:00, Mestalla Stadium
Full time: 2-3
Our prediction
The model gives Valencia a 37% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 36% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals: Valencia 1.4, Real Sociedad 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
VAL37%Draw27%RSO36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home37%✗Fair odds 2.71Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.86Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.72Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.84Draw no betHome51%✗Fair odds 1.98Asian handicapAway +0.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome47%✗Fair odds 2.13Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.66
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.8%
- 2-18.4%
- 1-28.3%
- 1-07.5%
- 0-17.4%
Recent form
Valencia
- WAlavés 0-1 Valencia
- LSevilla 1-0 Valencia
- LValencia 0-5 Barcelona
- LDeportivo 3-1 Valencia
- LValencia 0-1 Real Betis
Real Sociedad
- LReal Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
- LReal Sociedad 0-3 Atlético Madrid
- WElche 2-3 Real Sociedad
- DReal Sociedad 0-0 Celta Vigo
- WReal Sociedad 2-1 Espanyol
Head to head
- WReal Sociedad 3-4 Valencia
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.