Valencia vs Villarreal prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:30, Mestalla Stadium
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Valencia a 30% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 42% for Villarreal. Expected goals: Valencia 1.2, Villarreal 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
VAL30%Draw27%VIL42%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away42%✓Fair odds 2.36Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.551%✓Fair odds 1.98Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.31Both teams to scoreYes55%✓Fair odds 1.81Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.63Draw no betAway59%✓Fair odds 1.71Asian handicapHome +0.558%✗Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway51%✗Fair odds 1.97Win to nilAway22%✗Fair odds 4.55
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.1%
- 0-19%
- 1-29%
- 0-07.7%
- 0-27.4%
Recent form
Valencia
- DValencia 0-0 Athletic Club
- DRacing Santander 2-2 Valencia
- LValencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
- WAlavés 0-1 Valencia
- LSevilla 1-0 Valencia
Villarreal
- LLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal
- DVillarreal 0-0 Elche
- WVillarreal 3-1 Napoli
- LReal Madrid 1-0 Villarreal
- WVillarreal 3-1 Levante
Head to head
- LVillarreal 2-1 Valencia
- LValencia 0-2 Villarreal
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.