Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction
Friday 11 September 2026, 19:45, Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Full time: 2-4
Our prediction
The model gives Venezia a 39% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 33% for Fiorentina. Expected goals: Venezia 1.4, Fiorentina 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
VEN39%Draw28%FIO33%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.56Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.550%✗Fair odds 1.99Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✓Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes55%✓Fair odds 1.82Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.51Draw no betHome54%✗Fair odds 1.85Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.64Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome48%✓Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome20%✗Fair odds 4.95
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.3%
- 1-08.7%
- 2-18.6%
- 0-07.9%
- 0-17.8%
Recent form
Venezia
- LFrosinone 3-2 Venezia
- LAC Milan 2-0 Venezia
- LVenezia 0-2 Lecce
Fiorentina
- LFiorentina 1-2 Torino
- LFiorentina 0-3 Frosinone
- LAS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina
- DFiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
- WJuventus 0-2 Fiorentina
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.