Venezia vs Napoli prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00, Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Full time: 1-0

Our prediction

The model gives Venezia a 15% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 64% for Napoli. Expected goals: Venezia 0.9, Napoli 2.1. Most likely score: 0-2.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score55%

Most likely scores

  • 0-210.5%
  • 1-110%
  • 1-29.9%
  • 0-19.1%
  • 0-37.5%

Recent form

Venezia

  • LAtalanta 3-1 Venezia
  • LVenezia 0-2 Lazio
  • LVenezia 2-4 Fiorentina
  • LFrosinone 3-2 Venezia
  • LAC Milan 2-0 Venezia

Napoli

  • LVillarreal 3-1 Napoli
  • WNapoli 3-0 Frosinone
  • DFiorentina 1-1 Napoli
  • WNapoli 1-0 Bologna
  • LNapoli 0-1 Arsenal

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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