VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid prediction

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00, MHPArena

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives VfB Stuttgart a 38% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 36% for Atlético Madrid. Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 1.6, Atlético Madrid 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score62%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.8%
  • 2-18.5%
  • 1-28.3%
  • 2-26.4%
  • 1-06.4%

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart

  • LHamburg SV 1-0 VfB Stuttgart
  • WSlovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart
  • WSC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart
  • LVfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
  • LTSG Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart

Atlético Madrid

  • WEspanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid
  • WAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
  • WAlavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid
  • WAtlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
  • WAtlético Madrid 4-0 Osasuna

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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