Villarreal vs Deportivo prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 20:00, Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time: 2-3
Our prediction
The model gives Villarreal a 49% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo. Expected goals: Villarreal 1.8, Deportivo 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
VIL49%Draw25%DEP26%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✗Fair odds 2.05Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.559%✓Fair odds 1.69Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.65Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.68Draw no betHome65%✗Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapAway +1.573%✓Fair odds 1.37Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.81Win to nilHome22%✗Fair odds 4.45
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.5%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-07.5%
- 2-07.5%
- 1-26.8%
Recent form
Villarreal
- LAlavés 1-0 Villarreal
- DAtlético Madrid 2-2 Villarreal
- DRacing Santander 2-2 Villarreal
- WVillarreal 5-1 Atlético Madrid
- LRayo Vallecano 2-0 Villarreal
Deportivo
- WDeportivo 3-1 Valencia
- DMálaga 1-1 Deportivo
- DDeportivo 1-1 Elche
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.