Villarreal vs Napoli prediction
Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:00, Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Villarreal a 38% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 35% for Napoli. Expected goals: Villarreal 1.5, Napoli 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
VIL38%Draw27%NAP35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✓Fair odds 2.63Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.85Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreYes59%✓Fair odds 1.71Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.87Draw no betHome52%✓Fair odds 1.92Asian handicapAway +0.562%✗Fair odds 1.61Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.10Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.51
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.7%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-28.2%
- 1-07.5%
- 0-17.1%
Recent form
Villarreal
- LReal Madrid 1-0 Villarreal
- WVillarreal 3-1 Levante
- WMálaga 1-3 Villarreal
- LVillarreal 1-2 Real Betis
- LBorussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal
Napoli
- WNapoli 3-0 Frosinone
- DFiorentina 1-1 Napoli
- WNapoli 1-0 Bologna
- LNapoli 0-1 Arsenal
- LInternazionale 3-2 Napoli
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.