Vitória de Guimaraes vs Maritimo prediction
Friday 23 October 2026, 20:45, Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Full time: 5-0
Our prediction
The model gives Vitória de Guimaraes a 41% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 30% for Maritimo. Expected goals: Vitória de Guimaraes 1.4, Maritimo 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
VSC41%Draw29%MAR30%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✓Fair odds 2.46Double chanceEither team71%✓Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.83Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✓Fair odds 1.39Both teams to scoreYes51%✗Fair odds 1.95Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.26Draw no betHome57%✓Fair odds 1.75Asian handicapAway +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.69Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome49%✓Fair odds 2.03Win to nilHome23%✓Fair odds 4.39
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.8%
- 1-010.2%
- 0-09.3%
- 2-18.6%
- 0-18.4%
Recent form
Vitória de Guimaraes
- LBenfica 2-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- DVitória de Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense
- LAcadémico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória de Guimaraes
- DVitória de Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia
- LBraga 1-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
Maritimo
- LMaritimo 1-2 FC Porto
- DGil Vicente 1-1 Maritimo
- LMoreirense 3-1 Maritimo
- LMaritimo 0-3 Benfica
- LArouca 2-1 Maritimo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.