Arouca vs Santa Clara prediction

Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00, Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Full time: 1-2

Our prediction

The model gives Arouca a 41% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 31% for Santa Clara. Expected goals: Arouca 1.4, Santa Clara 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams score55%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.3%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-18.8%
  • 0-07.9%
  • 1-27.6%

Recent form

Arouca

  • DEstoril 0-0 Arouca
  • WArouca 2-1 Maritimo
  • LFC Porto 2-0 Arouca
  • WArouca 4-0 Moreirense
  • WVitória de Guimaraes 0-1 Arouca

Santa Clara

  • WSanta Clara 4-0 Rio Ave
  • DAlverca 1-1 Santa Clara
  • WSanta Clara 1-0 FC Famalicao
  • WAcadémico de Viseu 0-1 Santa Clara
  • DSanta Clara 2-2 C.D. Nacional

Head to head

  • DArouca 2-2 Santa Clara
  • DSanta Clara 0-0 Arouca

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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