Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:00, Estádio da Luz
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Benfica a 77% chance of winning, 16% for a draw and 7% for Vitória de Guimaraes. Expected goals: Benfica 2.5, Vitória de Guimaraes 0.7. Most likely score: 2-0.
SLB77%Draw16%VSC7%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home77%✓Fair odds 1.30Double chanceHome or draw93%✓Fair odds 1.08Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.62Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreNo54%✓Fair odds 1.84Correct score2-013%✓Fair odds 7.69Draw no betHome91%✓Fair odds 1.10Asian handicapHome -1.555%✓Fair odds 1.81Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome75%✓Fair odds 1.33Win to nilHome46%✓Fair odds 2.17
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams score | 46% |
Most likely scores
- 2-013%
- 3-010.9%
- 1-09.8%
- 2-18.8%
- 1-17.6%
Recent form
Benfica
- LFC Porto 3-1 Benfica
- WAC Milan 0-2 Benfica
- WBenfica 3-1 Gil Vicente
- WMoreirense 0-4 Benfica
- WMaritimo 0-3 Benfica
Vitória de Guimaraes
- DVitória de Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense
- LAcadémico de Viseu 2-1 Vitória de Guimaraes
- DVitória de Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia
- LBraga 1-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- WVitória de Guimaraes 1-0 C.D. Nacional
Head to head
- WBenfica 3-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- WVitória de Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.