Braga vs Sporting CP prediction

Friday 9 October 2026, 20:15, Estádio Municipal de Braga

Full time: 1-3

Our prediction

The model gives Braga a 32% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 41% for Sporting CP. Expected goals: Braga 1.3, Sporting CP 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score59%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.5%
  • 1-28.9%
  • 2-17.8%
  • 0-17.7%
  • 0-26.6%

Recent form

Braga

  • DSanta Clara 0-0 Braga
  • WBraga 1-0 Estoril
  • LEstrela 2-1 Braga
  • WAlverca 1-2 Braga
  • WBraga 1-0 Vitória de Guimaraes

Sporting CP

  • DSporting CP 2-2 Arouca
  • DFC Famalicao 1-1 Sporting CP
  • WSporting CP 3-1 Galatasaray
  • WSporting CP 2-0 C.D. Nacional
  • WRio Ave 0-4 Sporting CP

Head to head

  • DBraga 2-2 Sporting CP
  • DSporting CP 1-1 Braga

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Primeira Liga predictions