C.D. Nacional vs Alverca prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:30, Estádio da Madeira
Full time: 1-3
Our prediction
The model gives C.D. Nacional a 46% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 25% for Alverca. Expected goals: C.D. Nacional 1.4, Alverca 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
CDN46%Draw29%ALV25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home46%✗Fair odds 2.19Double chanceHome or draw75%✗Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.558%✗Fair odds 1.72Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.569%✓Fair odds 1.45Both teams to scoreNo53%✗Fair odds 1.90Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.28Draw no betHome65%✗Fair odds 1.55Asian handicapAway +1.577%✓Fair odds 1.29Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome53%✗Fair odds 1.89Win to nilHome28%✗Fair odds 3.62
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Both teams score | 48% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.7%
- 1-012.2%
- 0-010.5%
- 2-09.2%
- 2-18.9%
Recent form
C.D. Nacional
- LSporting CP 2-0 C.D. Nacional
- LC.D. Nacional 2-3 Estrela
- LVitória de Guimaraes 1-0 C.D. Nacional
- WC.D. Nacional 2-0 Estoril
- DSanta Clara 2-2 C.D. Nacional
Alverca
- LAlverca 1-2 Braga
- DAlverca 1-1 Santa Clara
- LSporting CP 3-1 Alverca
- DAlverca 2-2 Estrela
- LFC Porto 2-0 Alverca
Head to head
- WC.D. Nacional 1-0 Alverca
- LAlverca 1-0 C.D. Nacional
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.