Casa Pia vs Santa Clara prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 20:30, Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives Casa Pia a 19% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 52% for Santa Clara. Expected goals: Casa Pia 0.8, Santa Clara 1.4. Most likely score: 0-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Both teams score42%

Most likely scores

  • 0-114.9%
  • 1-113.2%
  • 0-012.1%
  • 0-211.3%
  • 1-28.7%

Recent form

Casa Pia

  • WEstoril 1-2 Casa Pia
  • LCasa Pia 1-4 FC Porto
  • DVitória de Guimaraes 0-0 Casa Pia
  • LCasa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
  • LGil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia

Santa Clara

  • DSanta Clara 0-0 Braga
  • WArouca 1-2 Santa Clara
  • WSanta Clara 4-0 Rio Ave
  • DAlverca 1-1 Santa Clara
  • WSanta Clara 1-0 FC Famalicao

Head to head

  • DCasa Pia 0-0 Santa Clara
  • LSanta Clara 1-0 Casa Pia

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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