Estoril vs Arouca prediction
Monday 7 September 2026, 20:15, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Estoril a 38% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 37% for Arouca. Expected goals: Estoril 1.6, Arouca 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
EPF38%Draw25%FCA37%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✗Fair odds 2.64Double chanceEither team75%✗Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.59Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✗Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes65%✗Fair odds 1.53Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.05Draw no betHome50%Fair odds 1.99Asian handicapAway +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.61Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.09Win to nilHome15%✗Fair odds 6.62
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 65% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.1%
- 2-18.4%
- 1-28.3%
- 2-26.8%
- 1-05.5%
Recent form
Estoril
- LBenfica 2-1 Estoril
- LEstoril 0-2 Rio Ave
- LC.D. Nacional 2-0 Estoril
- DEstoril 1-1 FC Famalicao
- LEstoril 1-3 Benfica
Arouca
- WArouca 2-1 Maritimo
- LFC Porto 2-0 Arouca
- WArouca 4-0 Moreirense
- WVitória de Guimaraes 0-1 Arouca
- WArouca 3-1 Tondela
Head to head
- LArouca 3-2 Estoril
- WEstoril 4-3 Arouca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.