Estrela vs Braga prediction
Thursday 10 September 2026, 20:15, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Estrela a 25% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 51% for Braga. Expected goals: Estrela 1.3, Braga 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
EST25%Draw23%SCB51%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away51%✗Fair odds 1.95Double chanceEither team77%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.564%✓Fair odds 1.56Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.18Both teams to scoreYes64%✓Fair odds 1.56Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.56Draw no betAway67%✗Fair odds 1.49Asian handicapHome +1.570%✓Fair odds 1.43Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway57%✓Fair odds 1.76Win to nilAway22%✗Fair odds 4.57
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.5%
- 1-29.5%
- 0-27.1%
- 0-16.5%
- 2-16.5%
Recent form
Estrela
- DEstrela 2-2 FC Famalicao
- WC.D. Nacional 2-3 Estrela
- DAlverca 2-2 Estrela
- DEstrela 2-2 Sporting CP
- DBraga 2-2 Estrela
Braga
- WAlverca 1-2 Braga
- WBraga 1-0 Vitória de Guimaraes
- DMoreirense 2-2 Braga
- DBraga 2-2 Estrela
- DBenfica 2-2 Braga
Head to head
- DBraga 2-2 Estrela
- DEstrela 3-3 Braga
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.